Akademik Veri Yönetim Sistemi
COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS, cilt.1, sa.1, ss.1-39, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, SSCI, Scopus)
The main objective of this study is to assess Türkiye’s macro-level vulnerability performance for the period 2006–2023, considering vulnerability as a critical indicator for sustainable development and crisis management against external shocks. To achieve this objective, the study employs the ARTASI (Alternative Ranking Technique based on Adaptive Standardised Intervals) model, which is based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy logic. A total of 13 indicators were used in the study. These indicators include the 12 indicators covered by the Fragile States Index developed by The Fund for Peace, as well as the Climate Risk Index (CR1), which was included in the analysis to reflect environmental vulnerabilities. The importance levels of the criteria were determined using the Intuitionistic Fuzzy approach based on expert opinions, and the performance ranking for the 2006–2023 period was carried out using the ARTASI method. Furthermore, various sensitivity analyses were performed to test the consistency and robustness of the results obtained. The results show that Economic Decline and Poverty (E1) and Security Apparatus (C1) are the criteria with the highest importance levels. The Climate Risk Index (CR1) ranks third, surpassing traditional political indicators. Upon reviewing Türkiye’s fragility performance, it was found that the lowest levels of fragility were observed in 2015, 2014, and 2016, while the highest levels of fragility were observed in 2021, 2018, and 2023. It is also shown that performance fluctuates over time and that a country’s fragility is significantly affected by both internal dynamics and external factors.