TEMPORAL VARIATION ANALYSIS OF PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION


Selçuk S. F., Yılmaz Z., Köker B., Sarıoğlu Cebeci M.

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY RESEARCH and APPLICATIONS, Alim YILDIZ,Derya Betül ÜNSAL, Editör, CUMHURIYET UNIVERSITY PUBLICATIONS, Sivas, ss.205-222, 2022

  • Yayın Türü: Kitapta Bölüm / Araştırma Kitabı
  • Basım Tarihi: 2022
  • Yayınevi: CUMHURIYET UNIVERSITY PUBLICATIONS
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Sivas
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.205-222
  • Editörler: Alim YILDIZ,Derya Betül ÜNSAL, Editör
  • Sivas Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Energy consumption is the most important indicator of a country's economic activities. The changes in primary energy consumption can be analysed as an indicator of the temporal variation of the economic activities of the countries. In this study, statistical analysis of Global primary energy consumption and the primary energy consumption of Turkey, Italy, USA, Brazil, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, China and South Korea were performed. In the selection of the countries to be analysed, the development level, geographical locations of the countries, diversity and comparability were considered. The longterm trends of change of primary energy consumption data between 1966-2021 were analysed empirically using Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA), Mann Kendall (MK) and Sen's slope prediction tests. The annual data of the total primary energy consumption of the countries were used in the analyses. Analysis results and graphics were examined and it has been determined that there is a statistically significant and increasing trend (p<0.05) for primary energy consumption in all countries and globally. The results obtained were also supported by the Innovative Trend Analysis results. In addition, a strong correlation (r2 =0.998) was found between slopes of ITA and Sen's slope estimator. As a result, because of the increase in population, industry and people's welfare and technological developments it is predicted that the primary energy consumption of countries will increase in future.